Agentic coding notes from Galapagos Island

(danluu.com)

60 points | by gm678 2 hours ago

9 comments

  • martey 1 hour ago
    OP's alt text makes it clear that by "Galapagos Island" they mean Vancouver. I assumed that this was some sort of local nickname, but all of the references to "Galápagos of Canada" I could find are talking about Haida Gwaii instead.
  • bob1029 1 hour ago
    A lot of the crazy ideas seem to have melted away in the face of massive context sizes. Today, I can put roughly a megabyte of utf8 text into my system prompt before things start to get weird.

    That is a massive amount of information even if we are being sloppy with it. You can read The Hobbit and the first Harry Potter book cover-to-cover and still have room to spare. I would deeply struggle to develop a world model this detailed for any business. Anything that needs to get more specific than these narratives can be a SQL query tool into the data warehouse, grep over the codebase, MS graph API lookup, etc.

    Giving the business a balanced way to collaborate over this one shared model of the world is a new challenge I am beginning to engage with. I've also noticed that the world model will compound on itself in terms of self-detection of update opportunities. The more constraints there are, the more likely we appear to violate one.

    • stingraycharles 1 hour ago
      You’re forgetting that keeping the context small is better economically and delivers better results.
  • gwern 1 hour ago
    URL typo: "hange how he works](/productivity-velocity/)". (I make this kind of Markdown syntax error all the time and set up a lint for '](/'.)

    You should talk to https://www.mechanize.work/ for sponsorship/credits and about environments.

  • brcmthrowaway 2 hours ago
    This seems like the beginnings of AI psychosis, tbh.
  • zarzavat 2 hours ago
    Fable changes the game yet again, because it's API-only.

    You're not likely to want to run Fable in a loop any more than you want to take a bunch of dollar bills and light them on fire. Every invocation of Fable has to be intentional, its context carefully managed. I feel like a babysitter.

    • jacobgold 20 minutes ago
      Fable is supposed to return to subscription plans, unless I'm missing something: https://jacob.gold/posts/fable-5-removal-is-temporary/

        Anthropic says the change is about capacity and is temporary. In its launch announcement on June 9, 2026, it says:
      
        "After this point—when sufficient capacity allows us to do so—we aim to restore Fable 5 as a standard part of subscription plans. We intend to do this as quickly as we can."
    • weird-eye-issue 1 hour ago
      Compared to Opus 4.8 I really haven't been impressed
      • danielbln 1 hour ago
        And I've been quite impressed. Opus talks the talk, Fable walks the walk.
        • stingraycharles 1 hour ago
          I don’t understand what these comments add to the discussion, you always see these and it’s just noise at this point.
          • danielbln 1 hour ago
            They add nothing, meaningless anecdotes. I was kind of riffing on that.
        • phplovesong 1 hour ago
          Damn that was a cringe comment
    • NitpickLawyer 1 hour ago
      I agree with you that you don't need fable for everything, and you have to be careful on what you run it on. CRUD stuff, sure even the small models can do it. But there certainly are tasks that are very much suited for the absolute SotA and you'd leave money on the table by not using it. And how much a task is worth is dependant on how much it improves your bottom line. So the cost/token becomes largely irrelevant.

      Let's take this [1] benchmark. A bit more context here [2].

      Here models are asked to create kernels for running inference on models. This is a benchmark perfectly suited and highly relevant right now. It's easily verifiable, an active are of research, and the results are immediately useful.

      Say you have 1 unit of compute, it costs 300k $ and serves 1x users. In comes Fable and after one session it gives you 30% speed-up on your 1 unit of compute. It can now serve 1.3x users. How much is that one session worth for you? How much is it worth for a company using 10 units? 100 units? How much is it worth for a hyper-scaler running 10.000 units? How much is it worth for a lab that trains the next frontier model and then serves it from 100.000 units? 30% is relative. And the cost for one session is really meaningless. It can cost 1m$ / session and it would still be worth it for someone.

      [1] - https://kernelbench.com/mega

      [2] - https://x.com/elliotarledge/status/2072814573753975266

    • eru 2 hours ago
      For now, I can use Fable from the web just fine.

      > You're not likely to want to run Fable in a loop any more than you want to take a bunch of dollar bills and light them on fire. Every invocation of Fable has to be intentional, its context carefully managed.

      Eh, that's just because it's the current frontier model. Give it a few weeks, and prices will drop.

      • zarzavat 1 hour ago
        API prices are the new normal. I doubt that prices will drop to the level of the subsidized subscriptions any time soon. Usage is growing exponentially but capacity cannot. There is no reason for them to waste their capacity on subscription users if they can sell that same capacity to API users.

        Like with Uber and Lyft, the low prices were a fight for market share, but now they have successfully captured that market share the focus changes to balancing their books.

    • nobodycares1 1 hour ago
      [flagged]
  • foobarbecue 1 hour ago
    It's "Galapagos" or "Galápagos," not "Galapogos."
    • stingraycharles 1 hour ago
      You miswrote OP’s miswriting in the third version :)
      • foobarbecue 1 hour ago
        Argh, autocorrect got me. Thanks, fixed.
        • foobarbecue 1 hour ago
          Aaand now OP has fixed it in the HN post title. Still wrong in the linked article.
  • zuzululu 2 hours ago
    [dead]
  • nobodycares1 1 hour ago
    [flagged]
    • anon7725 1 hour ago
      You’re out of your element, Donny.